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Part 1
Ireland Has a Viability Ceiling, Not a Planning Bottleneck
218 residential extension of duration applications in Q1 2026 — above the Covid peak. The acceleration started months earlier than anyone noticed.
Archa Intelligence·
Data-driven investigation into why Ireland's housing delivery system is structurally broken
218 residential extension of duration applications in Q1 2026 — above the Covid peak. The acceleration started months earlier than anyone noticed.
218 extension of duration applications made headlines. At most one in twenty developers with expiring permissions even files one.
85% of recycled RZLT sites change hands. One-site developers sell under pressure. Institutional buyers acquire at discount. The tax designed to unlock land is concentrating it.
A 2019 permission and a 2024 build are different regulatory products. Lapse rates exceed 80% regardless of developer size, but one-site operators lose everything when a permission expires.